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Friday, June 03, 2005

Notes on Tim Hudson

Having pitched his entire career in Oakland, Hudson has never faced a large number of the Pirates. The only current Pirate with any significant number of ABs against him is Matt Lawton, due to his time with Cleveland in the AL. In his career, Lawton is 9-32 (.281) with 2 doubles, 4 walks, and 7 strikeouts. It all equates to an OPS of .687, which is nothing spectacular but its just one guy and a fairly limited sample size, so it's hard to tell what that means other than that he's not totally awful against the guy. Mackowiak is 3-5 with 2 doubles and a walk, giving him an OPS of 1.167. He should play tonight, especially since Hudson is a righty. Yeah, I know, limited sample size and all that other junk, I just like Mackowiak and think he should play.

Hudson is in no way having a bad year, at 6-3 with an ERA of 3.00. That said, his numbers are all down slightly from his career averages. His walks, WHIP, and opp. BA are all higher than in the past, his K's are down. The key to beating him is to get to him early, as his early innings are typically his worst. The later into a game he pitches, the better he generally becomes. We'll need to have a solid top of the order tonight to get some pressure on him. Especially with Kip taking the mound, and even moreso because of his poor outing in his last start against the Reds. If we can build an early lead and let Kip get on cruise control, it'll make everyone breathe a little bit easier.

--Jeremy

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